Conf = Big Ten State = MD
Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Tim McCormackGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.7736893 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 A Albany America East ( 8-10, 89.4) 14-10 211 A Siena Metro Atlanti (13- 6, 88.1) 17- 9 217 A Duke Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.4) 17-13 221 H Loyola (MD) Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 97.4) 14-17 224 A Penn Ivy League (15- 5, 97.6) 10-11 228 H Georgetown Big East ( 7-11, 90.9) 10- 9 303 H Southern California Pac-12 (12- 5, 93.3) 13-10 306 H Vanderbilt American ( 9- 8, 88.6) 21- 3 309 N Stony Brook Colonial (18- 3, 96.5) 14-12 316 A Northwestern Big Ten (18- 3, 99.8) 9-14 323 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 8- 9, 90.4) 15- 5 330 H James Madison American (13- 7, 93.8) 21-13 406 A Rutgers Big Ten ( 8-10, 93.3) 13-12 410 H Maryland Big Ten (14- 6, 97.0) 8-13 414 H Michigan Big Ten (16- 4, 97.3) 9-13 418 A Penn State Big Ten (11- 8, 94.0) 13-16 427 A Michigan Big Ten (16- 4, 97.3) 10- 9 502 A Northwestern Big Ten (18- 3, 99.8) 12-13 510 N Fairfield Metro Atlanti (16- 3, 92.3) 11- 5 512 A Yale Ivy League (17- 3, 98.1) 7- 9
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 A Albany 14-10 4 5 -1.47 211 A Siena 17- 9 8 6 0.16 217 A Duke 17-13 4 2 1.52 221 H Loyola (MD) 14-17 -3 0 - -2.30 224 A Penn 10-11 -1 -2 1.67 228 H Georgetown 10- 9 1 5 -- -4.84 303 H Southern California 13-10 3 3 -0.41 306 H Vanderbilt 21- 3 18 8 0.00 309 N Stony Brook 14-12 2 0 + 2.74 316 A Northwestern 9-14 -5 -4 -0.11 323 H Ohio State 15- 5 10 6 0.64 330 H James Madison 21-13 8 2 ++ 4.10 406 A Rutgers 13-12 1 1 -0.57 410 H Maryland 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.68 414 H Michigan 9-13 -4 0 - -3.45 418 A Penn State 13-16 -3 0 - -3.88 427 A Michigan 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.34 502 A Northwestern 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.89 510 N Fairfield 11- 5 6 3 + 2.50 512 A Yale 7- 9 -2 -3 1.14UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Georgetown 10- 9 1 5 -- -4.84 410 H Maryland 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.68 221 H Loyola (MD) 14-17 -3 0 - -2.30 414 H Michigan 9-13 -4 0 - -3.45 418 A Penn State 13-16 -3 0 - -3.88OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H James Madison 21-13 8 2 ++ 4.10 309 N Stony Brook 14-12 2 0 + 2.74 427 A Michigan 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.34 502 A Northwestern 12-13 -1 -4 + 3.89 510 N Fairfield 11- 5 6 3 + 2.50
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.81 Power Rank................. 17 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 86.74 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7602 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .6471 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 1.5 Championship Rank ......... 16 Selection sum ........... 28 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 16 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 15 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0